Match Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos February 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.81 — +14.2% better than the market.

A tight contest is expected at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, where Atromitos holds a quality edge and better recent form. Asteras Tripolis' defensive solidity faces a modest attacking threat from Atromitos, suggesting a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances. The home side's slight home edge is tempered by their recent struggles, while Atromitos' pressing and counter opportunities could be decisive.

Home defense vs away attack balance
Recent form favors visitors
Likely a low to moderate tempo affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.81 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AST 4-4-2 · ATR 4-2-3-1

AST · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · ATR

41 Macheda

📊 Statistics

AST 1 – 2 ATR

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.88

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Atromitos won 2–1 away at Asteras Tripolis. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.64 units (Brier 0.224).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.81	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.25	—	39%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Home Win	2.46	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	37%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.48	—	29%	Cashed	+1.48	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.75	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.58	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.88	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.20	—	39%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	68%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.20	—	88%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	3.20	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.50	—	56%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.11	—	78%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.77	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.64u	−10% ROI