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Home Greece Super League 1 Olympiakos Piraeus — Panetolikos

Match Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panetolikos February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home · last 5 W L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 15:00
2:0
Full-time
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
L W D D L Away · last 5
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium · Piraeus Referee Spyridon Zampalas, Greece
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 65% · book 1.75
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 36% · book 2.78
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 35% · book 2.12
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.26 – 0.12
Δ +2.14
Possession
72% – 28%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.75 — +13.4% better than the market.

Olympiakos Piraeus enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid attacking edge against Panetolikos' defense. Their recent form shows resilience and scoring ability, while Panetolikos struggles to maintain consistency away. The home side's compact block and pressing intensity should limit Panetolikos' chances, suggesting a controlled pace with moderate goal opportunities.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailty
  • Superior recent form and home comfort
  • Likely tactical dominance and tempo control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed
AI 65% Implied 57% +0.75u
+75%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

OLY 20 PAN
72%
Possession (%)
28%
2.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.12
27
Total Shots
5
9
Shots on Target
1
11
Shots off Target
2
15
Shots Inside Box
3
12
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
12
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
58%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Olympiakos Piraeus beat Panetolikos 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.26 to 0.12. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 5, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.52 units (Brier 0.078).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.75 65% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.78 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.12 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.88 43% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 23.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 11.05 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.13 86% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
BTTS No 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 86% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.45 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 7.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 77% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Away Win 26.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 16.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.52u −32% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
OLY – PAN @ 1.75
+13.4%
Edge
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