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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — FSV Mainz 05

Predictions Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 October 5, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D L W L W Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Home Win · HAM
31%
Best 3.10
Draw
27%
Best 3.65
Away Win · MAI
42%
Best 2.19
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.51
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.51 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +5.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.74
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 31%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 1 market
Under 2.5 Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 42%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 69%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.