Match Panetolikos vs Aris Thessalonikis January 31, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.62 — +12.1% better than the market.

Aris Thessalonikis arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Panetolikos’ defensive solidity may keep the scoreline tight, but their offensive struggles and recent losses hint at a tough night. The match could lean towards a cautious tempo with limited goals given the defensive strengths and odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

Aris’ superior overall quality and form advantage
Panetolikos’ compact defense but limited attack
Likely a controlled pace with few clear chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed

AI 69% Implied 62% +0.62u

+62%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAN 3-5-1-1 · ARI 4-2-3-1

PAN · 3-5-1-1 4-2-3-1 · ARI

33 Hoxha

📊 Statistics

PAN 0 – 1 ARI

35%

Possession (%)

65%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

63%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aris Thessalonikis won 1–0 away at Panetolikos. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 1, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.47 units (Brier 0.118).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.62	—	69%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	—	64%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Away Win	2.18	—	54%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.82	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.06	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.35	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.88	—	43%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.23	—	87%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.27	—	82%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.45	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.50	—	54%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.28	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	80%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.90	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.05	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.33	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.47u	−20% ROI