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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › AEK Athens FC — Olympiakos Piraeus

Predictions by Market: AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Home · last 5 W D W D D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
W L D W D Away · last 5
Allwyn Arena · Athens Referee D. Makkelie

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AEK
28%
Best 2.42
Draw
28%
Best 3.08
Away Win · OLY
45%
Best 2.99
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.64
book 4.00 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (73%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 27.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 27.5%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
AEK – OLY @ 4.00
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →