Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC 0:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +12.4% better than the market.

AEK Athens FC arrives with a clear quality edge and recent positive form, contrasting Asteras Tripolis' struggles at home. The visitors' stronger attack faces a resilient but less potent home defense, suggesting AEK's pressing and tactical discipline could unlock chances.

AEK's superior overall strength and away momentum
Home side's defensive solidity tested by sharper offense
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

Expect a controlled game where AEK looks to capitalize on their form and quality advantage, while Asteras aims to frustrate and counter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 55% +0.83u

+83%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AST 4-4-1-1 · AEK 4-4-2

AST · 4-4-1-1 4-4-2 · AEK

1 Papadopoulos

17 Alho

13 Triantafyllopoulos

41 Macheda

Statistics

AST 0 – 1 AEK

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AEK Athens FC won 1–0 away at Asteras Tripolis. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.73 units (Brier 0.117).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.83	—	61%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
BTTS No	1.77	—	59%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.17	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.53	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.04	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.57	—	66%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	36%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	80%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.14	—	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.18	—	66%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	88%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.60	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.93	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.73u	−22% ROI

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled