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Home Greece Super League 1 Aris Thessalonikis — AEK Athens FC

Predictions Aris Thessalonikis vs AEK Athens FC January 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
W D W D D Away · last 5
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium · Thessaloniki Referee Rohit Saggi, Norway
Home Win · ARI
12%
Best 4.45
Draw
24%
Best 3.38
Away Win · AEK
64%
Best 1.82
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.75
Fair odds
1.55
book 1.75 · +13.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +13.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 12.4%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 32.6%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 15.8%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 40.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 85%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 15%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 12.4%
Odds 4.38
Show model details
Implied probability 22.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ARI – AEK @ 1.75
+13.1%
Edge
Forecast →