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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › Atromitos — Asteras Tripolis

Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Atromitos
Atromitos
Home · last 5 L L W L W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 15:00
0:1
Full-time
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
W D W D W Away · last 5
Referee Anastasios Papapetrou, Greece
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.67 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.85 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 64% · book 1.71 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +14.8% better than the market.

Asteras Tripolis enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Atromitos' defensive struggles at home contrast with Asteras' more balanced attack and defense, hinting at a tactical mismatch. The game may lean towards a cautious tempo given the odds favoring under 2.5 goals, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

  • Away side's superior quality and form
  • Home defensive vulnerabilities
  • Likely low-scoring, controlled pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 69% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ATR 0 – 1 AST
65%
Possession (%)
35%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots off Target
2
6
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
4
15
Fouls
18
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
2
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Asteras Tripolis won 1–0 away at Atromitos. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.23 units (Brier 0.177).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.67 — 69% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 1.85 — 62% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.71 — 64% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.50 — 35% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Home Win 2.25 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.01 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.38 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.00 — 42% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 88% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Away Win 3.70 — 35% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.25 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.56 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 — 78% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.50 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.23u −1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ATR – AST @ 1.67
+14.8%
Edge
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