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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › Larisa — OFI

Larisa vs OFI 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Larisa
Larisa
Home · last 5 D D D W L
Kick-off
Mon 24 Nov · 18:00
1:2
Full-time
OFI
OFI
W L L L W Away · last 5
AEL FC Arena · Larissa Referee Meletios Gioumatzidis, Greece
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.05 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.86 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 50% · book 2.35 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.86 — +14.0% better than the market.

Larisa hosts OFI in a clash where home defensive solidity stands out against a slightly less potent away attack. Larisa's home edge in defense and a compact block could frustrate OFI, who have struggled for consistency recently. Both sides show low scoring trends, suggesting a cautious pace and limited goal opportunities.

  • Larisa's defensive discipline at home
  • OFI's recent form inconsistency
  • Low expected goals hint at tight tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.86 ✗ Lost
AI 61% Implied 54% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

AEL 1 – 2 CRE
54%
Possession (%)
46%
18
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
23
Fouls
13
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
3
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

OFI won 2–1 away at Larisa. At half-time it was 1–2.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.35 units (Brier 0.256).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.05 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.86 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.35 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.67 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.62 — 50% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 43% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 — 39% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.30 — 23% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.40 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 — 82% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 87% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.40 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.32 — 63% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Away Win 3.25 — 23% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.60 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.35u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
AEL – CRE @ 1.86
+14.0%
Edge
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