Match Aris Thessalonikis vs Asteras Tripolis November 9, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.83 — +15.0% better than the market.

Aris Thessalonikis hosts Asteras Tripolis in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but the home side enjoys a mild advantage from their familiar surroundings. Aris's recent form shows strong momentum with two wins in their last three, while Asteras has been more inconsistent. The tactical battle will hinge on Aris's defensive solidity against Asteras's balanced attack, suggesting a compact game with limited clear-cut chances.

Home edge in defensive organization
Close offensive matchups
Moderate pace expected from odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.83 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 55% +0.83u

+83%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ARI 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-4-1-1

ARI · 4-2-3-1 4-4-1-1 · AST

1 Papadopoulos

17 Alho

13 Triantafyllopoulos

9 Gioacchini

📊 Statistics

ARI 0 – 0 AST

44%

Possession (%)

56%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aris Thessalonikis and Asteras Tripolis drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.92 units (Brier 0.239).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.83	—	63%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.75	—	65%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.07	—	52%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Home Win	1.80	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.15	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	18%	Cashed	+8.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.28	—	85%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	5.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.25	—	40%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	74%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.78	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.39	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.27	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+6.92u	+41% ROI