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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › Aris Thessalonikis — Panathinaikos

Predictions by Market: Aris Thessalonikis vs Panathinaikos

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
L D L L D Away · last 5
Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARI
21%
Best 3.18
Draw
28%
Best 3.18
Away Win · PAN
51%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.87
book 3.25 · +13.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 35% · EV +13.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.29
Show model details
Implied probability 30.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.3%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 34.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.8%
Odds 8.30
Show model details
Implied probability 12.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 20.1%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ARI – PAN @ 3.25
+13.2%
Edge
Forecast →