Match OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis October 4, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

OFI vs Aris: Aris hold the clearer overall edge and should control more of the game, while OFI lean on home advantage and set plays. The expected tempo is moderate, with the visitors’ structure limiting clean looks for the hosts.

Our model tilts toward away-favored outcomes and slightly lower scoring. Conservative positions sit in the core markets: X2 is fairly priced, while BTTS No and Under 2.5 show the cleaner overlays. Main risks: an early goal opening the game state and late pressure from the trailing side.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CRE 4-4-2 · ARI 4-4-1-1

CRE · 4-4-2 4-4-1-1 · ARI

12 Chatzitheodoridis 21 Apostolakis

9 Salcedo

📊 Statistics

CRE 3 – 0 ARI

33%

Possession (%)

67%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

OFI beat Aris Thessalonikis 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 4 landed and 3 missed, for a net +2.20 units (Brier 0.239).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 4 W · 3 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.05	—	52%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.90	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	77%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.92	—	53%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Away Win	2.08	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.90	—	25%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	4 W · 3 L	+2.20u	+31% ROI