This matchup features two teams struggling for form, with Heidenheim yet to earn points this season and Augsburg showing slightly better resilience. Heidenheim’s home performances have been underwhelming, with limited attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities, while Augsburg’s away displays suggest a more balanced approach, capable of scoring but also conceding. The game is likely to be cagey with modest goal expectations, favoring a competitive contest where a narrow away win or a draw are plausible outcomes. The market pricing reflects a close call, but the model leans slightly towards an away victory and goals being scored at both ends. Totals around 2.5 goals appear well priced, with a slight edge on the over given the attacking opportunities both sides create despite defensive lapses.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
HEI 4-3-3 · AUG 3-3-3-1
📊 Statistics
HEI 2 – 1 AUG48%
Possession (%)
52%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.82
11
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
20
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
6
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
⏱ Match events
20 · 2 – 14'
▮
Cedric Zesiger
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
Mikkel Kaufmann
Assist · Sirlord Conteh · 1–0
47'
51'
▮
Fabian Rieder
Yellow Card
Sirlord Conteh
Assist · Mikkel Kaufmann · 2–0
54'
59'
⇄
Noahkai Banks ↓ · Cedric Zesiger ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
Dimitrios Giannoulis ↓ · Robin Fellhauer ↑
Substitution 2
59'
⇄
Mert Kömür ↓ · Alexis Claude-Maurice ↑
Substitution 3
Arijon Ibrahimović
Yellow Card
67'
67'
▮
Keven Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
67'
▮
Dimitrios Giannoulis
Yellow Card
Marnon Busch ↓ · Mikkel Kaufmann ↑
Substitution 1
68'
Adrian Beck ↓ · Sirlord Conteh ↑
Substitution 2
68'
68'
⇄
Phillip Tietz ↓ · Marius Wolf ↑
Substitution 4
73'
▮
Samuel Essende
Yellow Card
Adam Kölle ↓ · Julian Niehues ↑
Substitution 3
75'
77'
▮
Chrislain Matsima
Yellow Card
84'
⇄
Elvis Rexhbeçaj ↓ · Han-Noah Massengo ↑
Substitution 5
Benedikt Gimber ↓ · Arijon Ibrahimović ↑
Substitution 4
89'
Luca Kerber ↓ · Niklas Dorsch ↑
Substitution 5
89'
90+8'
⚽
Phillip Tietz
Assist · Fabian Rieder · 2–1
Full-time · 2 – 1
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
7 · 4 W · 3 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away Win | 2.61 | — | 42% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.70 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.70 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.93 | — | 53% | Cashed | +0.93 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.56 | — | 62% | Cashed | +0.56 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 1.90 | — | 53% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 2.85 | — | 30% | Cashed | +1.85 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.54 | — | 29% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 7 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 3 L | +1.04u | +15% ROI |