Match FC Nordsjaelland vs Vejle February 20, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.60 — +12.3% better than the market.

FC Nordsjaelland holds a clear quality edge over Vejle, boosted by a solid home defensive record and a sharper attack. Their recent form shows home momentum despite some inconsistency, while Vejle struggles away with a leaky defense. Expect a controlled pace with Nordsjaelland pressing high and exploiting set-piece chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away attacking struggles
Recent form favors home side's confidence
Moderate tempo suggests tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.60 ✗ Lost

AI 70% Implied 63% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NOR 4-3-3 · VEJ 5-3-2

NOR · 4-3-3 5-3-2 · VEJ

10 Junior

📊 Statistics

NOR 3 – 3 VEJ

65%

Possession (%)

35%

2.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Nordsjaelland and Vejle drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.36 to 1.35. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 6 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.35 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.00 units (Brier 0.245).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.60	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.45	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.28	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.45	—	34%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	48%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.60	—	50%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.42	—	30%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.57	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.23	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	91%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.44	—	21%	Cashed	+3.44	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	72%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Away Win	5.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.29	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.00u	−6% ROI