Match Grazer AK vs Ried March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.80 — +14.3% better than the market.

Grazer AK faces a tough challenge against Ried at Merkur-Arena. Despite Grazer's solid defensive shape, Ried's higher overall quality and sharper attack suggest an edge. The home side's recent form shows resilience, but Ried's slightly better momentum and pressing ability could unlock chances. Expect a cautious tempo with limited goal-scoring opportunities given both teams' defensive strengths and the market's lean towards under 2.5 goals.

Ried's quality gap favors them tactically.
Grazer's home defense may keep it tight.
Moderate pace hints at a compact, strategic battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GRA 3-1-4-2 · RIE 3-1-4-2

GRA · 3-1-4-2 3-1-4-2 · RIE

25 Hofleitner

📊 Statistics

GRA 2 – 1 RIE

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.46

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Grazer AK beat Ried 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.46 to 0.51. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.72 units (Brier 0.289).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.80	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.62	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.79	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.34	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.71	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.62	—	50%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.07	—	37%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.39	—	30%	Cashed	+1.39	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.25	—	23%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.21	—	88%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.45	—	56%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Home Win	3.20	—	23%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	78%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.56	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.72u	−10% ROI