Match Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.85 — +14.1% better than the market.

Sturm Graz holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive setup, which could frustrate FC BW Linz. Despite Linz’s slightly better recent form, Graz’s home momentum and stronger defensive discipline suggest a controlled game with limited chances. The match may lean towards a low-scoring affair given the cautious pace implied by odds.

Home defensive resilience vs away attack
Recent form favors away but quality gap is wide
Likely compact and tactical with few goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 54% +0.85u

+85%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 3-4-2-1 · LIN 3-4-3

STU · 3-4-2-1 3-4-3 · LIN

20 Jatta

📊 Statistics

STU 1 – 0 LIN

40%

Possession (%)

60%

1.59

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.20

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

62%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz beat FC BW Linz 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 13, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.26 units (Brier 0.119).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.83	—	64%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
BTTS No	1.85	—	62%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Home Win	1.85	—	59%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.02	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.13	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.98	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	84%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.25	—	40%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.35	—	59%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	84%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.42	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.85	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.30	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.26u	−19% ROI