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Home Austria Bundesliga Grazer AK — Red Bull Salzburg

Match Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
Home · last 5 L L W D W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
W L D L L Away · last 5
Merkur Arena · Graz Referee D. Pfister
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.08
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.79
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.08
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.82 – 1.65
Δ −0.83
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Red Bull Salzburg enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, likely to test Grazer AK's defense repeatedly. Despite Grazer's compact block and home momentum, Salzburg's pressing and superior offensive firepower suggest they will control the game tempo. The home side's recent form shows resilience but lacks cutting edge, while Salzburg's mixed results hint at some vulnerability.

  • Salzburg's offensive edge against Grazer's defense
  • Home side's solid but limited scoring threat
  • Moderate pace expected with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

GRA 11 SAL
34%
Possession (%)
66%
0.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.65
11
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots off Target
4
6
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
10
2
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
8
67%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.65 to 0.82. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.27 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.08 55% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Away Win 1.79 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.08 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.87 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.10 39% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 46% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.76 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.24 84% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.33 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.13 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 76% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.81 24% Cashed +2.81 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 69% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Home Win 4.60 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.33 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.27u −13% ROI