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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › WSG Wattens — Sturm Graz

Predictions by Market: WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
Home · last 5 D W L D L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
D D D W W Away · last 5
Tivoli Stadion Tirol · Innsbruck Referee Isa Simsek, Austria

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WAT
22%
Best 3.08
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · STU
52%
Best 2.35
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.23
book 3.60 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 51.8%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.38
Show model details
Implied probability 29.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.9%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.29
Show model details
Implied probability 30.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.6%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
WAT – STU @ 3.60
+11.4%
Edge
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