Match TSV Hartberg vs WSG Wattens December 13, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.85 — +9.6% better than the market.

TSV Hartberg hosts WSG Wattens in a Bundesliga clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Hartberg’s slight home edge and compact defensive setup could challenge Wattens’ moderate attacking threat. Recent form favors Wattens, but Hartberg’s ability to keep games tight suggests a cautious tempo with limited goals.

Hartberg’s home defensive solidity vs Wattens’ average offense
Wattens’ better recent form but limited away firepower
Odds hint at a controlled pace and under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.85 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAR 5-3-2 · WAT 3-4-2-1

HAR · 5-3-2 3-4-2-1 · WAT

22 Hoffmann

📊 Statistics

HAR 2 – 1 WAT

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

TSV Hartberg beat WSG Wattens 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.35 to 0.47. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.46 units (Brier 0.178).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.85	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.56	—	41%	Cashed	+1.56	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	47%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.07	—	41%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.88	—	41%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.02	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	67%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.45	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.85	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	79%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	89%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.46	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	67%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.46u	−20% ROI

Match TSV Hartberg vs WSG Wattens December 13, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.85 — +9.6% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled