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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Red Bull Salzburg — WSG Wattens

Red Bull Salzburg vs WSG Wattens 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Home · last 5 W L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 13:30
2:3
Full-time
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
D W L D L Away · last 5
Red Bull Arena · Salzburg Referee Achim Untergasser, Austria
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.38 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.15 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.75 ✓
Total goals
5
2 · 3
Possession
71% – 29%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.56 — +3.4% better than the market.

Red Bull Salzburg enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against WSG Wattens' defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while WSG Wattens struggle to convert chances and have a defensive block that may be tested repeatedly. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat at Red Bull Arena could tilt the balance, especially given the moderate pace suggested by goal markets.

  • Home attacking prowess vs away defensive vulnerabilities
  • Better recent form and home advantage
  • Moderate tempo favors Salzburg's control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.56 ✗ Lost
AI 66% Implied 64% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAL 2 – 3 WAT
71%
Possession (%)
29%
14
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
14
8
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
11
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
3
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

WSG Wattens won 3–2 away at Red Bull Salzburg. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.58 units (Brier 0.317).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.38 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 53% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.61 — 57% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.55 — 35% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.57 — 34% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
Home Win 1.56 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 — 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.55 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.23 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 16.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 — 79% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 4.41 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.60 — 13% Cashed +4.60 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.26 — 13% Cashed +3.26 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +3.58u +21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
SAL – WAT @ 1.56
+3.4%
Edge
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