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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Wolfsberger AC — Ried

Wolfsberger AC vs Ried 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 15:00
1:2
Full-time
Ried
Ried
L L W W L Away · last 5
Lavanttal-Arena · Wolfsberg Referee J. Weinberger
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 2.02 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.83 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 82% · book 1.28 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
7 / 14
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.02 — +14.0% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Wolfsberger AC and Ried, Wolfsberger AC holds a slight edge with a 56.44% estimated probability of winning, compared to the 49.5% implied by the odds. The home side's attacking profile and overall strength suggest they could capitalize on their form trend. Meanwhile, the market favors a low-scoring affair, with Under 2.5 Goals being a strong contender given its 58.59% estimated probability against the odds' 54.64%.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.02 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WOL 1 – 2 RIE
51%
Possession (%)
49%
7
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
11
1
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
19
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Ried won 2–1 away at Wolfsberger AC. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 7 landed and 7 missed, for a net -0.27 units (Brier 0.277).

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 7 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.02 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.83 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 — 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.25 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 — 78% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.37 — 68% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 3.55 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.00 — 18% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.98 — 47% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
BTTS No 1.87 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.14 — 41% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.88 — 44% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.45 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 7 L −0.27u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
WOL – RIE @ 2.02
+14.0%
Edge
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