Match Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens December 3, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +14.4% better than the market.

Sturm Graz holds a clear quality edge at home, supported by a solid defensive setup that could stifle WSG Wattens' attack. Despite Wattens showing slightly better recent form, Sturm's home momentum and tactical discipline suggest a controlled game with limited chances. Expect a compact block from the hosts and a cautious approach from the visitors, likely resulting in fewer goals.

Home defensive solidity vs away attacking pressure
Sturm's home advantage in Merkur-Arena
Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-4-2 · WAT 3-4-2-1

STU · 4-4-2 3-4-2-1 · WAT

77 Malone

📊 Statistics

STU 1 – 3 WAT

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

WSG Wattens won 3–1 away at Sturm Graz. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 8, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.94 units (Brier 0.375).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.03	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.65	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.30	—	36%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	43%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.85	—	42%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.38	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.30	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.26	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	21%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.04	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	66%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Away Win	5.50	—	13%	Cashed	+4.50	Cashed
AH Away 0	4.00	—	13%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.94u	+23% ROI