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Home Zlin — Teplice

Match Zlin vs Teplice April 18, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Zlin
Zlin
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 13:00
3:2
Full-time
Teplice
Teplice
D W W W W Away · last 5
Stadion Letna · Zlin Referee L. Nehasil
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 65% · book 1.73
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 47% · book 2.57
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 45% · book 2.65
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
1.44 – 1.55
Δ −0.11
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.73 — +13.2% better than the market.

Zlin hosts Teplice in a clash where home momentum could be key despite recent struggles. Zlin's stronger overall quality and a mild home edge suggest they can control the game, especially given Teplice's solid but cautious form. The tactical battle may see Zlin pressing higher, exploiting their offensive edge against Teplice's less robust defense.

  • Zlin's home advantage and higher quality
  • Teplice's recent draws hint at a compact, defensive approach
  • Low expected goals and odds favor a tight, low-scoring match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.73 ✗ Lost
AI 65% Implied 58% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

ZLI 32 TEP
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.44
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.55
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
23
67%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Zlin beat Teplice 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 76% of their passes. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.44 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.68 units (Brier 0.303).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.73 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.57 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.65 45% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.93 45% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.15 35% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.60 27% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.98 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.53 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.45 74% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.19 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.10 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.53 53% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Away Win 2.90 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.12 82% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.25 12% Cashed +4.25 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.68u +10% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ZLI – TEP @ 1.73
+13.2%
Edge
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