P
Prognosist
P
Home Pardubice — Sigma Olomouc

Match Pardubice vs Sigma Olomouc April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Pardubice
Pardubice
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
L W L W W Away · last 5
CFIG Arena · Pardubice Referee K. Roucek
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 2.00
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.80
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 45% · book 2.65
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.26 – 3.41
Δ −2.15
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +14.3% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

PAR 21 SIG
36%
Possession (%)
64%
1.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.41
7
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
11
5
Shots Inside Box
15
3
Corner Kicks
6
6
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
8
62%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Pardubice beat Sigma Olomouc 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 78% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.41 to 1.26. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.24 units (Brier 0.242).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.00 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.65 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.91 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.82 42% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Home Win 2.70 28% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.07 37% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.93 28% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 84% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 55% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 3.35 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 83% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.35 62% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.65 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.24u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PAR – SIG @ 1.80
+14.3%
Edge
Forecast →