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Home Bohemians 1905 — Zlin

Match Bohemians 1905 vs Zlin April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 1905
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Zlin
Zlin
W D L L W Away · last 5
Stadion Ďolíček · Praha Referee Jakub Wulkan, Czechia
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.77
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.89
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 59% · book 1.91
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.32 – 0.78
Δ +0.54
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.77 — +14.8% better than the market.

Bohemians 1905 face a tough challenge against Zlin at Dolicek. Despite Bohemians' recent home momentum, Zlin's superior overall quality and sharper attack give them an edge. The home side's defensive solidity is tested by Zlin's pressing and offensive threat. Expect a cautious tempo with limited goals given both teams' recent form and defensive setups.

  • Bohemians hold a slight home edge but face a quality gap.
  • Zlin's attack exploits defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Low-scoring game likely due to compact blocks and cautious play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.77 ✗ Lost
AI 65% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

BOH 21 ZLI
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.78
15
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
2
11
Shots Inside Box
7
8
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
5
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Bohemians 1905 beat Zlin 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 77% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.32 to 0.78. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.51 units (Brier 0.201).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.77 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.89 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.91 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.97 41% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.96 39% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.15 35% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 85% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.25 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.02 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.95 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.26 68% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.45 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 83% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.40 41% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.39 60% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.90 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.51u −27% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BOH – ZLI @ 1.77
+14.8%
Edge
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