Match Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav April 4, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +13.9% better than the market.

Sigma Olomouc holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Andruv stadion. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Mlada Boleslav's stronger attack, hinting at a tactical battle where Olomouc's compact block could frustrate the visitors. Recent form favors Olomouc's home momentum, while the odds imply a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive threat
Home momentum from recent results
Moderate tempo expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SIG 4-2-3-1 · MLA 3-4-3

SIG · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · MLA

10 Sejk

📊 Statistics

SIG 2 – 4 MLA

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Mlada Boleslav won 4–2 away at Sigma Olomouc. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.68 to 1.15. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.68 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.86 units (Brier 0.341).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.98	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.86	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.02	—	45%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.89	—	41%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	43%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.18	—	21%	Cashed	+2.18	Cashed
Away Win	4.40	—	21%	Cashed	+3.40	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	83%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	64%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.35	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	20%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.86u	+11% ROI

Match Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +13.9% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled