Match Sparta Praha vs Karviná April 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +7.9% better than the market.

Sparta Praha carries strong home momentum into this clash, boasting a solid form run and a notable quality edge over Karviná. Their offensive firepower is well-positioned against Karviná's defense, suggesting effective attacking opportunities. Meanwhile, Karviná's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited in a match likely to favor a controlled pace with Sparta pressing for dominance.

Home side's compact block and pressing edge
Karviná's defensive lapses against strong attacks
Sparta's consistent scoring trend at epet ARENA

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed

AI 51% Implied 48% +1.10u

+110%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-3-3 · KAR 3-5-1-1

SPA · 4-3-3 3-5-1-1 · KAR

22 Haraslín

📊 Statistics

SPA 2 – 0 KAR

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.63

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Praha beat Karviná 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.41 to 0.63. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 14 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.56 units (Brier 0.099).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.75	—	66%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	51%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.21	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.88	—	44%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.50	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	20.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.35	—	76%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	94%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	76%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.70	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.75	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	—	76%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Away Win	11.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.80	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.56u	−27% ROI