Match Slovácko vs Dukla Praha April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +10.7% better than the market.

Slovácko holds a quality edge and a mild home advantage, but recent form suggests struggles with momentum. Their strong defensive shape faces a Dukla Praha side that has shown resilience and slightly better recent points per game. Expect a tactical battle with limited chances as both teams prioritize solidity.

Home defensive compactness vs away pressing
Low recent scoring trends hint at a cautious pace
Historical tight encounters suggest a close finish

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SLO 3-4-1-2 · DUK 5-4-1

SLO · 3-4-1-2 5-4-1 · DUK

27 Ouanda

📊 Statistics

SLO 1 – 2 DUK

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Dukla Praha won 2–1 away at Slovácko. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 79% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.19 to 0.30. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 5, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.30 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.45 units (Brier 0.293).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.67	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.81	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.05	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.72	—	46%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	39%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	34%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.57	—	20%	Cashed	+1.57	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.89	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.30	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.46	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	3.22	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	79%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	—	58%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	3.58	—	20%	Cashed	+2.58	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.89	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.45u	−9% ROI