P
Prognosist
P
Home FK Jablonec — Slovan Liberec

Match FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec
Home · last 5 L D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec
L L L L L Away · last 5
Stadion Střelnice · Jablonec nad Nisou Referee L. Nehasil
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.87
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.05
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 2.23
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
2.42 – 0.47
Δ +1.95
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +12.9% better than the market.

FK Jablonec holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a controlled game at Stadion Strelnice. Their recent form shows some inconsistency, but they maintain a better points-per-game ratio than Slovan Liberec, who have been steady but less decisive. Expect a tactical battle with Jablonec's defense likely to absorb pressure well against Liberec's slightly sharper attack.

  • Home momentum with a compact defensive block
  • Liberec's pressing edge in attack
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

JAB 12 LIB
61%
Possession (%)
39%
2.42
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.47
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
6
5
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
20
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
3
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Slovan Liberec won 2–1 away at FK Jablonec. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.42 to 0.47. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.47 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.02 units (Brier 0.239).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.87 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.23 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.63 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.68 45% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.90 40% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.18 27% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 80% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.34 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.59 53% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Away Win 3.00 27% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 87% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.28 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 63% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.25 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.02u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
JAB – LIB @ 1.87
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →