Match Hradec Králové vs Plzen March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +14.9% better than the market.

Plzen holds a quality edge and looks to leverage their stronger offense against Hradec Králové's defense. However, the home side's recent form shows more momentum, with sharper attacking transitions and a compact defensive block that could frustrate visitors. The match pace hints at a balanced tempo, favoring tactical discipline over wild open play.

Home momentum from recent wins
Plzen's offensive threat vs solid home defense
Moderate pace suggesting tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HRA 4-1-4-1 · PLZ 4-2-3-1

HRA · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · PLZ

17 Mihálik

📊 Statistics

HRA 0 – 3 PLZ

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Plzen won 3–0 away at Hradec Králové. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.42 to 0.72. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 12, 7 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.42 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.47 units (Brier 0.136).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	57%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Away Win	2.03	—	55%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.82	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	—	39%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.79	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.29	—	80%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.50	—	55%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	87%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	63%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Home Win	3.90	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.47u	−26% ROI