Match Baník Ostrava vs Zlin March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +15.0% better than the market.

Baník Ostrava vs Zlin Preview

Despite Baník Ostrava's home ground advantage, Zlin shows a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form. Baník's defensive solidity faces a tough test against Zlin's sharper attack, but the home side's compact block and set-piece threat could keep the match tight. Expect a cautious tempo with limited goals, as both teams have shown signs of defensive resilience recently.

Zlin's offensive edge challenges Baník's defense
Home momentum may help Baník resist pressure
Likely a low-scoring, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

OST 5-3-2 · ZLI 3-4-2-1

OST · 5-3-2 3-4-2-1 · ZLI

15 Jurečka

📊 Statistics

OST 6 – 2 ZLI

56%

Possession (%)

44%

2.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Baník Ostrava beat Zlin 6–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.91 to 2.10. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 6 from 2.91 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.45 units (Brier 0.269).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.83	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.95	—	43%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	40%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.05	—	37%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.30	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.35	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.15	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	69%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	3.65	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	83%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	62%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	43%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.55	—	17%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.45u	−14% ROI