Match Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Slavia Praha holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger defensive record and recent winning form. Their offensive strength matches well against Sparta's defense, suggesting Slavia can control the game tempo at Fortuna Arena. Sparta’s resilience and recent form keep the contest tight, but Slavia’s home edge and sharper attack could tilt the balance.

Slavia’s compact defense vs Sparta’s moderate attack
Home crowd support boosting Slavia’s confidence
Both teams favor a balanced pace, hinting at tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

SLA 3-4-3 · SPA 3-4-3

SLA · 3-4-3 3-4-3 · SPA

11 Sanyang

📊 Statistics

SLA 3 – 1 SPA

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

67%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Slavia Praha beat Sparta Praha 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.34 to 1.27. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 6, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.57 units (Brier 0.183).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.07	—	56%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.90	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.02	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	50%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.95	—	47%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.66	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	82%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.50	—	56%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.50	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	71%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	26%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Away Win	4.07	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.57u	−15% ROI