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Home Sigma Olomouc — Bohemians 1905

Match Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 17:30
1:0
Full-time
Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 1905
W W W L W Away · last 5
Fortuna Arena · Prague Referee S. Volek
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 68% · book 1.67
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.80
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 2.00
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.46 – 2.16
Δ −1.70
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +13.5% better than the market.

Sigma Olomouc holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a notable home advantage, suggesting control over the match tempo. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Bohemians' slightly weaker defense, hinting at a tactical battle where Olomouc's compact block could limit chances. Recent form favors Bohemians slightly, but Sigma's home momentum and pressing edge may keep the game tight with limited goals.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Bohemians' recent positive form
  • Likely cautious pace with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 68% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

SIG 10 BOH
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.16
7
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
8
4
Shots Inside Box
9
2
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
6
Fouls
14
69%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
2
Yellow Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Sigma Olomouc beat Bohemians 1905 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.16 to 0.46. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.55 units (Brier 0.116).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.67 68% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 63% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Win 2.00 57% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.85 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.02 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.30 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.00 42% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 86% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.24 83% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.44 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.40 57% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 81% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.30 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.93 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.35 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.55u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
SIG – BOH @ 1.67
+13.5%
Edge
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