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Prognosist
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Home Karviná — Slavia Praha

Match Karviná vs Slavia Praha February 14, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga
Karviná
Karviná
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 14:00
1:3
Full-time
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
W W W L W Away · last 5
Town Stadium Karvina · Karvina Referee M. Radina
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.30
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.10
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.70
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.07 – 1.72
Δ −0.65
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Slavia Praha holds a clear quality edge over Karviná, reflected in their superior overall strength and offensive capabilities. Despite Karviná's slightly better recent form, Slavia's defensive solidity and attacking threat suggest they can control the game, especially away from home. The home side's moderate home edge is unlikely to offset Slavia's pressing and tactical discipline.

  • Slavia's stronger attack vs Karviná's defense
  • Karviná's home momentum but limited defensive resilience
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

KAR 13 SLA
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.07
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.72
11
Total Shots
21
3
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
7
7
Shots Inside Box
14
3
Corner Kicks
10
5
Fouls
11
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Slavia Praha won 3–1 away at Karviná. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.72 to 1.07. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 11, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.92 units (Brier 0.134).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.30 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 54% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.65 54% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.60 33% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.57 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.53 67% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.60 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.53 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.14 88% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.21 67% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 77% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Draw 4.35 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.12 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.85 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.92u −29% ROI