Match Sparta Praha vs Pardubice November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.65 — +12.9% better than the market.

Sparta Praha enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Pardubice's defense. Their recent form shows resilience and goal threat, while Pardubice struggles to keep pace, especially away. Sparta's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Pardubice's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a controlled tempo with Sparta pressing high and likely dominating possession.

Home attacking superiority
Better recent form and confidence
Defensive gaps in away side

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.65 ✗ Lost

AI 68% Implied 61% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 3-4-3 · PAR 5-4-1

SPA · 3-4-3 5-4-1 · PAR

22 Haraslin

📊 Statistics

SPA 2 – 4 PAR

81%

Possession (%)

19%

1.60

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.56

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

59%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Pardubice won 4–2 away at Sparta Praha. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 81% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 12, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.56 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +25.40 units (Brier 0.415).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.65	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.55	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.62	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.31	—	39%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.32	—	32%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Under 0.5	20.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.25	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.03	—	96%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.18	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.03	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.55	—	52%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Double Chance X2	5.10	—	19%	Cashed	+4.10	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	74%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	19.00	—	4%	Cashed	+18.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	9.90	—	4%	Cashed	+8.90	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+25.40u	+149% ROI