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Home › England › Premier League › Brighton — Manchester United

Predictions by Market: Brighton vs Manchester United

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
0:3
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W W D W W Away · last 5
American Express Stadium · Falmer Referee S. Barrott

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRI
44%
Best 1.92
Draw
22%
Best 4.21
Away Win · MUN
34%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.78
book 1.98 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 56% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (66%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.7%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.3%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.3%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 34.3%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BRI – MUN @ 1.98
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →