P
Prognosist
P
Home England Premier League Manchester City — Aston Villa

Predictions Manchester City vs Aston Villa May 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
1:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee A. Madley
Home Win · MCI
75%
Best 1.38
Draw
17%
Best 6.00
Away Win · AST
8%
Best 9.50
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.45
Fair odds
2.41
book 2.45 · +1.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 41% · EV +1.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.7%
Odds 6.30
Show model details
Implied probability 15.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 8%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 54.4%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 14.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 8%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.