West Ham vs Leeds — Preview, Lineups & AI Prediction

AI preview · 90 sec read

AI sees no standout edge in this market — odds and probabilities line up.

West Ham hosts Leeds in a clash where Leeds hold a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they arrive with momentum. West Ham's defensive solidity at home contrasts with Leeds' potent attack, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. The moderate pace implied by odds hints at a controlled game, with both sides cautious but capable of moments of threat.

Leeds' superior overall strength and form advantage
West Ham's home defensive resilience
Balanced attacking matchups with potential for tight scoring

⚖ Market · Fair (consensus)

4 bookmakers consensus · 15-min refresh

Market	Best bookmaker	Fair (consensus)	AI prob.	Edge
Under 1.5	4.50	4.50	25%	+13.6%	Watch
Under 2.5	2.28	2.20	49%	+12.1%	Watch
Double Chance X2	1.98	2.00	56%	+11.1%	Watch
Under 0.5	15.00	15.00	7%	+10.1%	Watch
BTTS No	2.30	2.21	46%	+6.6%	Watch
Under 3.5	1.44	1.44	71%	+2.5%	Watch
Draw	4.21	4.05	23%	−1.7%	Pass
Over 0.5	1.04	1.03	93%	−3.6%	Pass
Over 1.5	1.22	1.18	75%	−8.8%	Pass
Over 2.5	1.73	1.67	51%	−12.0%	Pass
Double Chance 1X	1.30	1.24	67%	−12.6%	Pass
BTTS Yes	1.62	1.62	54%	−13.1%	Pass
Home Win	1.92	1.78	44%	−15.7%	Pass
Over 3.5	2.80	2.62	29%	−19.3%	Pass

Under 1.5

book 4.50 · fair 4.50 · 25%

+13.6%

Watch

Under 2.5

book 2.28 · fair 2.20 · 49%

+12.1%

Watch

Double Chance X2

book 1.98 · fair 2.00 · 56%

+11.1%

Watch

Under 0.5

book 15.00 · fair 15.00 · 7%

+10.1%

Watch

BTTS No

book 2.30 · fair 2.21 · 46%

+6.6%

Watch

Under 3.5

book 1.44 · fair 1.44 · 71%

+2.5%

Watch

Draw

book 4.21 · fair 4.05 · 23%

−1.7%

Pass

Over 0.5

book 1.04 · fair 1.03 · 93%

−3.6%

Pass

Over 1.5

book 1.22 · fair 1.18 · 75%

−8.8%

Pass

Over 2.5

book 1.73 · fair 1.67 · 51%

−12.0%

Pass

Double Chance 1X

book 1.30 · fair 1.24 · 67%

−12.6%

Pass

BTTS Yes

book 1.62 · fair 1.62 · 54%

−13.1%

Pass

Home Win

book 1.92 · fair 1.78 · 44%

−15.7%

Pass

Over 3.5

book 2.80 · fair 2.62 · 29%

−19.3%

Pass

Best bookmaker — highest offer across all bookmakers. Fair (consensus) — median of all bookmakers with the bookmaker margin removed. AI prob. — AI's estimated probability of the outcome. Edge — how much the best bookmaker beats the AI-implied price (positive = value). ★ Top pick — highest-EV value bet; Watch — positive edge below the value threshold; Pass — no edge.

⚔ Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match

1.16

Goals Scored

1.32

1.76

Goals Conceded

1.43

1.14

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

3.57

Shots on Target

4.86

Corners

4.43

42.51

Possession (%)

45.41

100.92

Efficiency index

73.23

Adjusted index

83.90

Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date

OFF · home

DEF · home

OFF · away

DEF · away

Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers

Home Win Draw Away Win

🎯 Scenario insights

①

West Ham wins when scoring first

100%

①

Leeds wins when scoring first

100%

⚽

West Ham BTTS rate · last 10

40%

⚽

Leeds BTTS rate · last 10

40%

↑

West Ham Over 2.5 · last 10

50%

↑

Leeds Over 2.5 · last 10

40%

↩

West Ham comeback rate · last 10

↩

Leeds comeback rate · last 10

—

🔥 Goal timing

West Ham · last 10 at home

0–15 15%

16–30 8%

31–45 31%

46–60 15%

61–75 15%

76–90 15%

Leeds · last 10 away

0–15 8%

16–30 17%

31–45 25%

46–60 8%

61–75 25%

76–90 17%

Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

D. Calvert-Lewin

LEE · Attacker

14 G · 0.47 g/90