Match RAAL La Louvière vs Genk March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.95 — +12.7% better than the market.

Genk enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. RAAL La Louvière's defensive struggles could be exploited by Genk's sharper attack, while the home side's modest offensive threat faces a solid away defense. The match pace hints at a balanced tempo, likely favoring a controlled game rather than an open shootout.

Genk's offensive edge against a leaky defense
Home side's recent form lacks momentum
Moderate pace suggests tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAA 3-4-1-2 · GEN 4-1-4-1

RAA · 3-4-1-2 4-1-4-1 · GEN

22 Afriyie

📊 Statistics

RAA 5 – 5 GEN

45%

Possession (%)

55%

1.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

RAAL La Louvière and Genk drew 5–5. At half-time it was 2–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.69 to 1.64. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.64 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.70 units (Brier 0.249).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.95	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.15	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.09	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.99	—	42%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	47%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	46%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.52	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	80%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.80	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.56	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	68%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.45	—	22%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Home Win	3.60	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.70u	−4% ROI