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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Union St. Gilloise — Dender

Predictions by Market: Union St. Gilloise vs Dender

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:15
2:0
Full-time
Dender
Dender
L W L L D Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee Bert Verbeke, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GIL
77%
Best 1.28
Draw
17%
Best 5.40
Away Win · DEN
6%
Best 10.00
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.19
book 2.30 · +5.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +5.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (54%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.3%
Odds 5.87
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 6%
Odds 12.10
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 13.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6%
Odds 8.30
Show model details
Implied probability 12.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
GIL – DEN @ 2.30
+5.1%
Edge
Forecast →