P
Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Belgium Jupiler Pro League Dender — Charleroi
Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Dender
Dender
Home · last 5 L W L L D
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 17:15
2:2
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Dender Football Complex · Denderleeuw Referee Jan Boterberg, Belgium
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.87
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.23
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.07
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.10 – 2.38
Δ −0.28
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +8.4% better than the market.

Charleroi arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their stronger attack faces a home defense that has struggled, hinting at potential scoring opportunities. However, Dender's home momentum and compact defensive setup could limit the goal flow, making this a tactical battle.

  • Charleroi's offensive pressure vs Dender's defensive resilience
  • Recent form favors the visitors
  • Moderate pace expected given balanced goal market odds

Expect a controlled game where Charleroi's quality and form may tip the scales, but Dender's home grit could keep the scoreline tight.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

DEN 22 CHA
43%
Possession (%)
57%
2.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.38
15
Total Shots
22
4
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
15
5
Corner Kicks
13
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
11
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.87 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.23 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.07 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.83 47% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.05 42% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.60 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.72 47% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.48 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.60 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.35 79% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.45 26% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 68% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 23% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Home Win 3.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.81u −5% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
DEN – CHA @ 1.87
+8.4%
Edge
Forecast →