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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Union St. Gilloise — Genk

Predictions by Market: Union St. Gilloise vs Genk

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W D D W D Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GIL
63%
Best 1.68
Draw
23%
Best 3.84
Away Win · GEN
14%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.96
book 3.25 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (66%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 3.99
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 13.7%
Odds 5.23
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 12.10
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GIL – GEN @ 3.25
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →