OH Leuven vs KVC Westerlo 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.46 — +9.5% better than the market.

KVC Westerlo holds a clear quality edge over OH Leuven, reflected in their stronger overall squad and attacking potential. Westerlo's offensive threat meets a resilient Leuven defense, suggesting a tactical battle where Westerlo's sharper attack might break through. Both sides show similar recent form, but Westerlo's away momentum and slightly higher expected goals hint at a controlled pace with chances for the visitors.

Westerlo's offensive edge against Leuven's defense
Balanced recent form but away side's quality advantage
Moderate tempo expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.46 ✓ Cashed

AI 25% Implied 22% +3.46u

+346%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LEU 3-4-1-2 · WES 4-2-3-1

LEU · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · WES

19 Ikwuemesi

Statistics

LEU 0 – 1 WES

61%

Possession (%)

39%

2.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

KVC Westerlo won 1–0 away at OH Leuven. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 74% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 9, 4 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.21 units (Brier 0.227).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	67%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	—	48%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.37	—	45%	Cashed	+1.37	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.13	—	42%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.70	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.70	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.40	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.82	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.90	—	42%	Cashed	+1.90	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	70%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.46	—	25%	Cashed	+3.46	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.58	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.23	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.21u	+7% ROI

OH Leuven vs KVC Westerlo 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled