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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Charleroi — Cercle Brugge

Match Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge February 7, 2026 — Result and Stats

Charleroi
Charleroi
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 17:15
3:4
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
W W W L L Away · last 5
Stade du Pays de Charleroi · Charleroi Referee Bert Put, Belgium
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.14
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.92
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.10
Total goals
7
3 · 4
xG (open play)
2.90 – 2.34
Δ +0.56
Possession
73% – 27%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Charleroi enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive setup that challenges Cercle Brugge's attacking edge. Despite Cercle's slightly better offensive numbers, Charleroi's home comfort and recent form give them a mild advantage. The match could see a balanced tempo, with both sides cautious yet probing for chances.

  • Home defensive solidity versus away attacking threat
  • Recent form favors Charleroi's consistency
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

CHA 34 CER
73%
Possession (%)
27%
2.90
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.34
27
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
2
17
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
12
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
64%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Cercle Brugge won 4–3 away at Charleroi. At half-time it was 1–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 73% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.90 to 2.34. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.34 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.50 units (Brier 0.309).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.14 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.92 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.79 50% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.97 46% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.75 46% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.64 20% Cashed +1.64 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.31 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.65 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.53 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 71% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Draw 3.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.31 25% Cashed +2.31 Cashed
Away Win 3.65 20% Cashed +2.65 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.50u +3% ROI