Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge 3:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.65 — +6.3% better than the market.

Charleroi enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive setup that challenges Cercle Brugge's attacking edge. Despite Cercle's slightly better offensive numbers, Charleroi's home comfort and recent form give them a mild advantage. The match could see a balanced tempo, with both sides cautious yet probing for chances.

Home defensive solidity versus away attacking threat
Recent form favors Charleroi's consistency
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.65 ✗ Lost

AI 29% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CHA 4-2-3-1 · CER 4-2-2-2

CHA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-2-2 · CER

21 Scheidler

Statistics

CHA 3 – 4 CER

73%

Possession (%)

27%

2.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.34

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Cercle Brugge won 4–3 away at Charleroi. At half-time it was 1–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 73% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.90 to 2.34. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.34 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.50 units (Brier 0.309).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.14	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.92	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	50%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.97	—	46%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	46%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.64	—	20%	Cashed	+1.64	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.65	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.53	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	71%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.31	—	25%	Cashed	+2.31	Cashed
Away Win	3.65	—	20%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.50u	+3% ROI

Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge 3:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled