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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Anderlecht — Dender

Match Anderlecht vs Dender January 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Home · last 5 L D D W L
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 17:30
0:0
Full-time
Dender
Dender
L W L L D Away · last 5
Referee W. De Cremer
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.14
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.91
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 49% · book 1.93
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.75 – 0.92
Δ +0.83
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Anderlecht holds a clear quality edge over Dender, boosted by a solid home attacking threat against a less resilient away defense. Despite mixed recent form, Anderlecht’s home momentum and sharper offensive play suggest they can control the game tempo. Dender’s recent away struggles and defensive vulnerabilities may invite pressure, favoring a match with moderate goal chances.

  • Home attacking edge vs away defense
  • Anderlecht’s home momentum
  • Dender’s defensive frailties on the road

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

AND 00 DEN
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.75
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.92
20
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
2
10
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
16
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
68%
1
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Anderlecht and Dender drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.75 to 0.92. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +13.94 units (Brier 0.357).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.14 49% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 51% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.93 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.82 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.57 32% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
Home Win 1.53 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 89% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.43 70% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.20 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.35 24% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 7% Cashed +12.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.40 21% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Away Win 6.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.94 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +13.94u +82% ROI