Zulte Waregem vs Genk 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.22 — +12.6% better than the market.

Genk arrives at Elindus Arena with a clear quality edge and a slight form advantage, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Their stronger attack faces a home defense that has struggled recently, while Zulte Waregem's home edge is limited, hinting at a challenging day. The match may see a moderate pace, with both sides cautious but Genk likely to press for control.

Genk's offensive edge against a leaky home defense
Home side's recent poor form and limited home momentum
Moderate tempo expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.22 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

WAR 3-5-2 · GEN 4-2-3-1

WAR · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · GEN

39 Aké

Statistics

WAR 2 – 1 GEN

39%

Possession (%)

61%

2.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Zulte Waregem beat Genk 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 0.48. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 7, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.28 units (Brier 0.239).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.15	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.22	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.72	—	49%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	53%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.75	—	46%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.80	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.42	—	21%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	72%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.37	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.59	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	—	74%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Home Win	3.45	—	21%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.28u	−13% ROI

Zulte Waregem vs Genk 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled