P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Belgium Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen — Dender
Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 L W L D D
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 17:15
1:1
Full-time
Dender
Dender
L W L L D Away · last 5
Referee Massimiliano Ledda,
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.05
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.16
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.25
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.06 – 1.09
Δ −0.03
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.05 — +13.7% better than the market.

KV Mechelen enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a solid home momentum, having won three of their last five. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Dender's struggles at the back, suggesting a pressing advantage for the hosts. While Dender shows some resilience in recent draws, the tactical matchup favors Mechelen's sharper attack against a vulnerable defense.

  • Home side's defensive strength likely to stifle Dender's offense
  • Mechelen's recent form indicates growing confidence
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ✓ Cashed
AI 55% Implied 49% +1.05u
+105%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MEC 11 DEN
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.09
14
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
4
13
Fouls
11
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
2
Yellow Cards
5
8
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.05 55% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Home Win 2.16 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.25 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.85 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.68 49% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.74 47% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.46 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 75% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.20 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 78% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.58 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.60 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 70% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Away Win 3.35 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.82u −17% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
MEC – DEN @ 2.05
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →