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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KV Mechelen — Charleroi

Predictions by Market: KV Mechelen vs Charleroi

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 W L D D L
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 12:30
1:0
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee Nicolas Laforge, Belgium

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MEC
31%
Best 3.10
Draw
26%
Best 3.22
Away Win · CHA
43%
Best 2.31
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.36
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.36 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (52%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.2%
Odds 4.11
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MEC – CHA @ 2.36
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →