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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › St. Truiden — Club Brugge KV

St. Truiden vs Club Brugge KV 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 19:45
3:2
Full-time
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
W W W D W Away · last 5
Referee Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.62 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.47 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.49 ✗
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
3.06 – 2.53
Δ +0.53
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.62 — +1.4% better than the market.

Jupiler Pro League Clash

St. Truiden hosts Club Brugge in a tight contest where the away side holds a slight quality edge and a more robust defensive record. St. Truiden’s home momentum and better recent form could challenge Club Brugge’s compact defensive setup. Expect a balanced pace with both teams probing cautiously, leveraging set-piece opportunities and tactical discipline.

  • Home side’s recent form shows resilience despite inconsistency
  • Club Brugge’s defensive solidity may limit clear chances
  • Moderate tempo suggests a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.62 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 62% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

TRU 3 – 2 CLU
44%
Possession (%)
56%
3.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.53
14
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Target
8
5
Shots off Target
5
13
Shots Inside Box
15
8
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
9
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

St. Truiden beat Club Brugge KV 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.06 to 2.53. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 14, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.06 units (Brier 0.243).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.62 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.47 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.49 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.86 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.04 — 47% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.61 — 59% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 — 37% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.28 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 — 60% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.41 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.00 — 24% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Home Win 4.10 — 24% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.19 — 80% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.01 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.06u +0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
TRU – CLU @ 1.62
+1.4%
Edge
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