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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Genk — KV Mechelen

Predictions Genk vs KV Mechelen November 23, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Genk
Genk
Home · last 5 W D D W D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 12:30
0:1
Full-time
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
W L D D L Away · last 5
Cegeka Arena · Genk Referee Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
Home Win · GEN
63%
Best 1.50
Draw
21%
Best 4.40
Away Win · MEC
16%
Best 5.50
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.52
Fair odds
2.25
book 2.52 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +12.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (56%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 16.1%
Odds 5.58
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 16.1%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
GEN – MEC @ 2.52
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →